...Gary Hufbauer: U.S. economy may face a shallow recession...
Andwhilethatwon'thappenquickly,thatwillsomewhatslowdowntherateofanydeclineintheeconomy.Sothosearemyreasons,bothforarecession,andashallowrecession.策划:于晓娜监制:施诗责任编辑:李依农记者:见习记者梁旭琦...
前沿论文丨NBER:July 17, 2023 Working Papers
本研究开发了一个多方程动态离散选择有序logit模型,该模型允许单独识别状态依赖性(结果内部和结果之间)和未观察到的异质性的贡献。在考虑了其他相关的未观察到的异质性之后,我应用这个新开发的模型来区分适度饮酒和大量饮酒的影响。本研究发现适度饮酒增加了就业,这与适度饮酒是社会资本积累的场所是一致的。按剂量水平...
一篇文章读懂:丹霞、雅丹、彩丘、风城,高考地理地质地貌过程
壮年期(MatureStage)垄岗状雅丹继续被侵蚀,纵向的沟槽将其切割成为毗邻的小型雅丹体,以连体塔状、塔状和柱状雅丹为主;老年期(RecessionStage)不断的侵蚀作用使雅丹体开始变低、变小并逐步消亡,以稀少、孤立的雅丹体为主;消亡期(DeclineStage)最终雅丹体坍塌而为残丘状,大部分地区形成新的戈壁面。阅读...
James K.Galbraith:China should maintain capital controls
1、AUSrecessionispossiblebutnotcertainThankyouverymuch,it’smypleasuretobewithyou.Ialsowouldliketothankthepreviousspeakersfortheirverydetailedandwide-rangingremarksonalargerangeofrelevanttopics.I'mgoingtotakeadifferenttackhereandre...
双语新闻播报(December 26)
TheUKhasfallenintoarecessionwhichcouldbethelongestsincerecordsbeganinthe1950s,economistshavewarned.AccountancyfirmKPMGsaidthecountrydroppedintorecession,definedastwoconsecutivequartersofdecline,inthethirdquarteroftheyear....
日本学者:疫情引发的全球经济衰退远超金融危机和日本大地震
AsfortheUS,asbadas40%ofdeclineofGDPgrowthweshouldseeinthisyearof2020.至于美国,我们预测其2020年的GDP增长率下降幅度将达40%(www.e993.com)2024年11月25日。SomuchasneitherJapannortheworldwillbeabletoavoidarecessionordepression....
霍德华·马克斯最新备忘录:现在该走哪条路
Joblosses:theoilandgasindustrydirectlyprovidesmorethan5%ofAmericanjobs(andmoreindirectly),anditcontributedgreatlytothedeclineofunemploymentsincetheGFC.Asignificantdeclineintheindustry’scapitalinvestment,whichrecentlyhasaccountedforameaningfulshare...
复盘美股08年崩盘:漫长的头部 不要想着在极端位置入场
Feb.23(Bloomberg)--U.S.stocksdroppedforathirdday,pushingtheDowJonesIndustrialAveragetoitsworstweeklydeclinesinceAugust,asconcernmountedthatmoreAmericanswilldefaultonhomeloans.CountrywideFinancialCorp.,LehmanBrothersHoldingsInc.andBearStearnsCos....
洪灝:中国市场预测权威指南(A Definitive Guide to Forecasting...
andhasbeenconfinedinatradingrange.China’smarkethasturnedintoazero-sumgame.2010isalsotheyearwhenChina’shabitsofsavingandinvestmentchanged.CurrentaccounttoGDPratiostartedtodecline,andinvestmentgrowthdecelerated.Now,theShanghaiCompositeisright...
2012年6月大学英语六级真题试卷及参考答案
15.A)Declinetheinvitationasearlyaspossible.B)AskTonytoconveythankstohismother.C)TellTony’smotherthatsheeatsnomeat.D)Addmorefruitsandvegetablestoherdiet.16.A)Theincreasingcrimerate....