旧文新读 | “理性预期失灵”:立论、逻辑梳理及其“供给管理...
Comparedwithabundantdiscussiononincompleteinformation,therehasbeenalmostblankinthediscussiononincompleterationalityorirrationalfactors.Itwasnotuntil2000thatthebookIrrationalExuberancepublishedbyRobertJ.Shillerintroducedtheirrationalfactorsintotheeconomicsofficially.I...
China's economy resilient with potential and vitality
Thisyear,thegrowthtargetisaround5percent.Lastyear,China'sGDPgrewbyonly3percent,undershootingthetargetof5.5percentbyabigmargin.That'swhylocalgovernmentshaveadoptedmoreambitiousgrowthtargetsfor2023,rangingfrom4.0-9.5percentandaveraging6percent...
23考研外刊阅读《经济学人》双语精读版训练--为何油价再次大涨
上期翻译答案Insomeways,thebanksaid,theeconomicthreatsmirrorthoseinthe1970s,whenspiralingoilshocksfollowedbyrisinginterestratescausedaparalyzingstagflation,oramenacingcombinationofhighpricesandlowgrowth.世界银行表示,在某些方面,当前的经济威胁与1970年代的情况类...
【中银宏观:6月FOMC会议点评】经济硬着陆风险仍然存在
目前来看,俄乌冲突和疫情并未明显缓解,美国经济实现硬着陆的风险仍然较大。[1]Yale’sStephenRoachseesgrowingrisksofstagflationsparkedbybrokensupplychains,October11,2021,httpsqz/2072095/yales-roach-predicted-stagflation-caused-by-broken-supply-chains/[2]AlanBlinder,2022...
斯蒂芬·罗奇:供应链问题短期难解,美联储需积极调整政策利率以...
罗奇:19个月前,我曾在《金融时报》上发表了一篇题为《距离1970式滞胀仅有供应链断裂一步之遥》(Areturnto1970sstagflationisonlyabrokensupplychainaway)的文章。19个月后的今天,全球供应链已然断裂。现在回过头来看,全球供应链的断裂,其实是可以预见的。疫情发生之前,供应链已经处于饱和的状态,全球...
全面降准,万亿资金流向谁?With the across-the-board reduction...
Therefore,thiscut,themindmaynotthinkaboutthepropertymarket,self-occupationisOK,investmentisprudent.Perhapsinthepastvaluationsystem,theRRRcut=thehousingmarketrose,butthisyearitselfwastheyearwhentheoldvaluationsystemcollapsed....
IMF:原油价格上涨可能将加剧通货膨胀
中国石化新闻网讯据财经网站FXstreet5月9日报道,国际货币基金组织(IMF)4月23日发表了一份报告,指出油价上涨可能会对全球通货膨胀和经济增长前景产生影响。报告指出:“对一些人来说,油价上涨可能会让人想起上世纪70年代,当时地缘政治紧张也导致化石燃料价格飙升。
Alt-Market创始人 | 美联储不降息的真正原因
“unaware”ofwhatwashappening,thenyearslateradmitoutrightthattheyknewwhatwashappening;fromAlanGreenspanadmittingthattheFedwaswellawareofthebubblethatledtothecrashof2008,toBenBernankeopenlyadmittingthattheFedhadcausedtheGreatDepressionby...
伯南克第二课英文讲义_美股新闻_新浪财经_新浪网
notallofTheGreatModerationwascausedbymonetarypolicy.Thereareotherfactors,nodoubt,playingarole.Imentionedjustgeneralstructuralchangeintheeconomy.Anexamplewouldbethatovertime,firmshavelearnedhowtomanagetheirinventoriesmuchmoreeffectively.Thepract...
23考研外刊阅读《华盛顿邮报》双语精读版训练--世界银行警告:全球...
However,fatalitiescausedbyhouseholdairpollutionspecifically,forexampleburningwoodindoors,fellfrom2.9millionin2015to2.3millionin2019asmanycountriesswitchedtocleanerfuels.然而,由于许多国家转向使用更清洁的燃料,家庭空气污染(如在室内燃烧木材)造成的死亡人数从2015年的290万人下...